Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
South St. Paul Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060202 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,536
Eviction risk in South St. Paul eviction risk in Dakota County centers on tract 27037060202, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,536 residents. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,039 monthly, set against $87,558 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$87,558
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
National
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9055, -93.0508 · click any tract to drill in
Why South St. Paul scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.6
How South St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2009)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 68% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South St. Paul
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.1% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060202?
Census tract 27037060202 in South St. Paul scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060202?
Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060202?
10.3% of residents in tract 27037060202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 76th, minority 32th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.27% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060202 compare to South St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060202 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of South St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South St. Paul
Top eight tracts in South St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related