Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
South St. Paul Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060401 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,763
Census tract 27037060401 runs through South St. Paul in Dakota County. With 2,763 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 39% of US census tracts.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,241 a month while the average household earns $83,241 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,046
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$83,241
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.8791, -93.0398 · click any tract to drill in
Why South St. Paul scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from South St. Paul
3.6
How South St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2009)
- 4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South St. Paul
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.5% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060401?
Census tract 27037060401 in South St. Paul scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060401?
Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060401?
9.2% of residents in tract 27037060401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,763.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 69th, minority 53th, housing 40th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.55% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060401 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060401 compare to South St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060401 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of South St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South St. Paul
Top eight tracts in South St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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