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Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060742 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,811

Tract 27037060742 sits in Burnsville eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Dakota County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$135,069

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#957 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,048 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7265, -93.2667 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,306 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0607424.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak (2011)
  • 4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060742
Filings dropped 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

At $2,306 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Burnsville commands. The voucher gap is 36.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.7/10. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 38 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 14.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060742

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060742?

Census tract 27037060742 in Burnsville scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060742?

Median gross rent is $2,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060742?

3.3% of residents in tract 27037060742 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,811.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060742?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 47th, minority 32th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060742?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060742 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.39% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060742 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060742 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060742 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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