Neighborhood · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally

Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis

Tract 27053000603 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,366 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 27053000603 sits in the Waite Park neighborhood of Minneapolis, Minnesota. It has a population of 3,366 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 34% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 18% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,745/month against a median household income of $130,625 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units1,375

Renter share7.5%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate4.4%

Median income$130,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 45.0283, -93.2316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waite Park scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Minneapolis

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

4.4% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,745 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Minneapolis

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Minneapolis

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Minneapolis

7.0

How Waite Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

5%Grade A
43%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

25Total filings over 5 yrs
12.99%Avg annual filing rate
25.8%Peak (2012)
8Filings in 2013 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 — 2013

Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

9Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.36×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.0%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
22.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 27053000603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053000603?

Census tract 27053000603 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27053000603?

Median gross rent is $1,745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053000603?

4.4% of residents in tract 27053000603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,366.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053000603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 3th, minority 34th, housing 14th.

Is tract 27053000603 considered part of Waite Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053000603 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053000603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053000603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.99% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27053000603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27053000603 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27053000603 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053000603 scores 5.8/10 — lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27053000603 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.