Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis
Tract 27053000603 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,366 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27053000603 covers part of the Waite Park area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,366. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$130,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0283, -93.2316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waite Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,745 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Waite Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.8%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 9Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waite Park
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. At $1,745 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 34% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 25.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053000603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053000603?
Census tract 27053000603 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053000603?
Median gross rent is $1,745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053000603?
4.4% of residents in tract 27053000603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053000603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 3th, minority 34th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 27053000603 considered part of Waite Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053000603 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053000603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053000603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.99% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053000603 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053000603 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053000603 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053000603 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053000603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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