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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Seward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053107500 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,910 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

27053107500 is a census tract in the Seward area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,910. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 21% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units843
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$94,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Seward
Very Low
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#136 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9565, -93.2291 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seward scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Seward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 107500Minneapolis: 6.66.6Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2012)
  • 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270531075002009: 6 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (3.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seward

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053107500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053107500?

Census tract 27053107500 in the Seward neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053107500?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053107500?

10.5% of residents in tract 27053107500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053107500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 26th, minority 40th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 27053107500 considered part of Seward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053107500 fall within Seward (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053107500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053107500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053107500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053107500 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053107500 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053107500 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053107500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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