Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Seward Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053106400 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,933 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 27053106400 sits in the Seward area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 1,933 residents. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,056
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$70,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9620, -93.2258 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seward scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$684 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Seward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 37%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.0%Peak (2009)
- 3Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 38Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seward
At $684 a month, rents run 50% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 1.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053106400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053106400?
Census tract 27053106400 in the Seward neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053106400?
Median gross rent is $684/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053106400?
18.3% of residents in tract 27053106400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,933.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053106400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 67th, minority 55th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 27053106400 considered part of Seward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053106400 fall within Seward (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053106400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053106400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.53% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053106400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053106400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053106400 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053106400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053106400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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