Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123034500 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,633 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
27123034500 is a census tract in the Eastview area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,633. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,250
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$73,235
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9550, -93.0602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastview scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Eastview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 400Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2012)
- 52Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.1%Food insecurity
- 21.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.9%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastview
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 28.1% against 17.8% nationally.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. The filing record is not thin: 400 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 13.3% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,391, 9% above the St. Paul average.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123034500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123034500?
Census tract 27123034500 in the Eastview neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123034500?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123034500?
23.5% of residents in tract 27123034500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,633.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123034500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 89th, minority 76th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 27123034500 considered part of Eastview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123034500 fall within Eastview (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123034500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 400 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123034500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.22% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123034500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123034500 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123034500 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123034500 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123034500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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