Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123031702 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,680 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
27123031702 is a census tract in the Eastview area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,680 residents. Food insecurity runs 44.4% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,245
Renter share67.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$43,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9709, -93.0376 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastview scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Eastview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 599Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.9%Peak (2009)
- 59Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 699Total filings 2020-21
- 9.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.3%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.4%Food insecurity
- 38.0%SNAP enrollment
- 22.7%Transit barriers
- 18.0%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastview
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 28.3% against 14.2% nationally. At $963 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 599 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 13.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123031702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123031702?
Census tract 27123031702 in the Eastview neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123031702?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123031702?
24.3% of residents in tract 27123031702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123031702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 85th, minority 87th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 27123031702 considered part of Eastview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123031702 fall within Eastview (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123031702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 599 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123031702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.84% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123031702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123031702 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123031702 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123031702 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123031702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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