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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated

7 census tracts · pop 33,628 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 6.2–7.9

Eastview spans 7 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 33,628 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the St. Paul rate of 30.0%.

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The 7 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.2 to 7.9, a 1.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Court records carry 2,718 eviction filings across its 7 observed tracts. Food insecurity affects 27.0% of adults, 9.2 points above the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 23.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 6.9% in 2015, is well off that peak. At $1,199 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of St. Paul commands.

That places it #9 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $65,764. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
7 tracts · population-weighted
Eastview vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.4% +75%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,199 -6%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$65,764 -14%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
15.1% -4%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
46.4% -2%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eastview and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 6.2–7.9

Why Eastview scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
15.1% below poverty line · Range 1.3–6.1 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Eastview vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Eastview score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.1EastviewNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Eastview?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 6.2 to 7.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Eastview

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123031702 7.9 6,680 53% $963
27123034601 7.9 5,505 70% $1,334
27123034500 7.9 3,633 53% $1,391
27123031701 6.5 2,927 34% $1,332
27123034602 6.4 4,808 75% $1,071
27123031801 6.3 6,248 28% $1,202
27123034701 6.2 3,827 53% $1,287
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Eastview

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,718Total filings (sum)
  • 8.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 6.27%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,003Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.3Avg monthly observed
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.24×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Eastview

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Eastview

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Eastview?

Eastview scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Eastview compare to St. Paul overall?

Eastview scores 0.6 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,199 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Eastview?

Average gross rent in Eastview is $1,199/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Eastview residents are renters?

46% of Eastview households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 33,628 residents.
Q5

Is Eastview a high social-vulnerability area?

Eastview sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Eastview have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Eastview is census tract 27123031702 (score 7.9/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Eastview for landlords?

Eastview carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Eastview?

Eastview has 33,074 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (31%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Eastview

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Eastview.

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