Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123031701 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,927 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 27123031701 sits in the Eastview area of St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. Population here is 2,927. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 24% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units850

Renter share36.9%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate10.8%

Median income$77,162

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9658, -93.0520 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastview scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

10.8% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,332 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How Eastview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
63%Grade C
5%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

336Total filings over 7 yrs
14.53%Avg annual filing rate
23.5%Peak (2014)
43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

107Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly (observed)
2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.50×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.0%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
12.6%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastview

34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 336 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 23.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123031701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123031701?

Census tract 27123031701 in the Eastview neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123031701?

Median gross rent is $1,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123031701?

10.8% of residents in tract 27123031701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,927.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123031701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 87th, minority 83th, housing 66th.

Is tract 27123031701 considered part of Eastview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123031701 fall within Eastview (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123031701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 336 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123031701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.53% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123031701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123031701 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123031701 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123031701 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123031701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org