Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Eastview Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul

Tract 27123034601 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,505 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

For landlords sizing up the Eastview neighborhood of St. Paul, census tract 27123034601 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,334 a month while the average household earns $54,827 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 14% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,923

Renter share47.7%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate18.9%

Median income$54,827

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9523, -93.0522 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastview scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

18.9% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,334 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How Eastview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
63%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

324Total filings over 7 yrs
5.11%Avg annual filing rate
6.7%Peak (2011)
31Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings dropped 31% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

397Total filings 2020-21
5.2Avg monthly (observed)
3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.56×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.4%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
33.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastview

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123034601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123034601?

Census tract 27123034601 in the Eastview neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123034601?

Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123034601?

18.9% of residents in tract 27123034601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,505.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123034601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 80th, minority 78th, housing 94th.

Is tract 27123034601 considered part of Eastview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123034601 fall within Eastview (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123034601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 324 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123034601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123034601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123034601 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123034601 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123034601 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123034601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org