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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123034602 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,808 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 27123034602 covers part of the Eastview area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,808. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 7% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share28.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$75,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Eastview
Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#57 of 85 tracts In St. Paul
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#56 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9571, -93.0378 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastview scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,071 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5

How Eastview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastview risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 0346026.5St. Paulparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 284Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 7.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2009)
  • 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123034602
Filings dropped 40% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 171Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastview

The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,071, 16% below the St. Paul average.

Court records carry 284 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Food insecurity runs 26.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2009, when 12.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123034602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123034602?

Census tract 27123034602 in the Eastview neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123034602?

Median gross rent is $1,071/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123034602?

9.2% of residents in tract 27123034602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,808.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123034602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 61th, minority 83th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 27123034602 considered part of Eastview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123034602 fall within Eastview (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123034602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123034602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.75% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123034602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123034602 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123034602 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123034602 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123034602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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