Eastview Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123034602 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,808 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27123034602 covers part of the Eastview area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,808. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9571, -93.0378 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastview scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Eastview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 284Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2009)
- 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 171Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.1%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Eastview
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,071, 16% below the St. Paul average.
Court records carry 284 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Food insecurity runs 26.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2009, when 12.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 27123034602
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123034602?
What is the average rent in tract 27123034602?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123034602?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123034602?
Is tract 27123034602 considered part of Eastview?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123034602?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123034602 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123034602 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123034602 compare to St. Paul overall?
Was tract 27123034602 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.