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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Catlin Courts Eviction Risk: Moderate , Duluth

Tract 27137002200 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,304 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 27137002200 covers Catlin Courts in Duluth in Minnesota. Home to 1,304 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #42,626 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,490 a month while the average household earns $87,250 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 19% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units534
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$87,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Catlin Courts
Moderate
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#27 of 34 tracts In Duluth
Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 74 tracts In St. Louis County
Moderate
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#432 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.7429, -92.0646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Catlin Courts scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Duluth
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Duluth
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Duluth
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Duluth
5.0

How Catlin Courts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Catlin Courts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 002200Duluth: 5.85.8Duluthparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Catlin Courts

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137002200?

Census tract 27137002200 in the Catlin Courts neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27137002200?

Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137002200?

5.7% of residents in tract 27137002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,304.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 45th, minority 37th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 27137002200 considered part of Catlin Courts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27137002200 fall within Catlin Courts (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 27137002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27137002200 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137002200 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 27137002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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