Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137003700 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 2,083

Duluth in St. Louis County anchors census tract 27137003700, which lands at 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,062 a month while the average household earns $51,875 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 29% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units989

Renter share43.6%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate12.1%

Median income$51,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.6881, -92.2153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

12.1% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,062 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.3%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
16.1%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137003700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137003700?

Census tract 27137003700 in Duluth scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137003700?

Median gross rent is $1,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137003700?

12.1% of residents in tract 27137003700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,083.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137003700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 25th, minority 16th, housing 90th.

What share of households in tract 27137003700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137003700 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137003700 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137003700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.