Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

West Central Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 29077000102 · Greene County, MO · pop 1,673 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in West Central in Springfield centers on tract 29077000102, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,673 residents. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $842 monthly, set against $21,346 in average yearly household income, roughly 47% of income at the averages. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 38% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units910

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate58.6%

Median income$21,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.2071, -93.2873 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Central scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

58.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$842 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

How West Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
51%Grade C
6%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.1%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
29.4%Food insecurity
26.1%SNAP enrollment
20.2%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
28.2%Frequent mental distress
44.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Central

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greene County average of 4.7 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 6% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077000102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000102?

Census tract 29077000102 in the West Central neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29077000102?

Median gross rent is $842/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000102?

58.6% of residents in tract 29077000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,673.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 3th, minority 56th, housing 88th.

Is tract 29077000102 considered part of West Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077000102 fall within West Central (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 29077000102 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29077000102 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077000102 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 29077000102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.