Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Phelps Grove/University Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077000200 · Greene County, MO · pop 5,823 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 29077000200 in the Phelps Grove/University Heights area of Springfield, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,823 residents. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,309
Renter share99.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate68.7%
Median income$18,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.2004, -93.2831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phelps Grove/University Heights scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
68.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$821 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Phelps Grove/University Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 310Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2017)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Phelps Grove/University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.4%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 26.1%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 33.1%Frequent mental distress
- 49.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phelps Grove/University Heights
Against Greene County at 41.2%, 72% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Annualized rent equals 53% of average household income of $18,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 69%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.8% against 31.5% nationally.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Greene County average of 3.7.
Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 310 filings here across 9 tracked years. Average gross rent is $821, 15% below the Springfield average.
The worst year on record was 2017, when 4.2% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000200?
Census tract 29077000200 in the Phelps Grove/University Heights neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077000200?
Median gross rent is $821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000200?
68.7% of residents in tract 29077000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,823.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 1th, minority 22th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 29077000200 considered part of Phelps Grove/University Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077000200 fall within Phelps Grove/University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 310 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077000200 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077000200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Ewing
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Sherwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Westside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Tom Watkins
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Westside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Robberson
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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