Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077002402 · Greene County, MO · pop 4,288 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Oak Grove neighborhood of Springfield centers on tract 29077002402, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,288 residents. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,097 a month against an average household income of $54,517 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,030
Renter share55.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$54,517
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.1878, -93.2348 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Grove scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Oak Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 440Total filings over 9 yrs
- 6.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oak Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 440 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077002402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077002402?
Census tract 29077002402 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077002402?
Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077002402?
15.3% of residents in tract 29077002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,288.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077002402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 18th, minority 30th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 29077002402 considered part of Oak Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077002402 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077002402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 440 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077002402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.76% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077002402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077002402 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077002402 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Phelps Grove/University Heights
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Robberson
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Rountree/Walnut
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Tom Watkins
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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