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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 29077002402 · Greene County, MO · pop 4,288 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

29077002402 is a census tract in the Oak Grove area of Springfield, MO. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 33% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,030
Renter share55.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$54,517

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Oak Grove
Very Low
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 62 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 78 tracts In Greene County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#696 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.1878, -93.2348 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5

How Oak Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0024023.4Springfieldparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 440Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 6.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2016)
  • 60Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29077002402
Filings climbed 88% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 440 filings here across 9 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,097, 14% above the Springfield average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 9.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Greene County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077002402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077002402?

Census tract 29077002402 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29077002402?

Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077002402?

15.3% of residents in tract 29077002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,288.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077002402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 18th, minority 30th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 29077002402 considered part of Oak Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077002402 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077002402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 440 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077002402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.76% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29077002402 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29077002402 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077002402 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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