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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 29077005700 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,819 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 29077005700 sits in the Oak Grove area of Springfield eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 3,819. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 34% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,045
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$44,960

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Oak Grove
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 62 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 78 tracts In Greene County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#640 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.1849, -93.2532 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$724 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5

How Oak Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0057003.4Springfieldparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 364Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2013)
  • 36Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29077005700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. At $724 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Springfield commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 364 filings here across 9 tracked years.

Against Greene County at 41.2%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Greene County average of 3.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077005700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077005700?

Census tract 29077005700 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29077005700?

Median gross rent is $724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077005700?

14.1% of residents in tract 29077005700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,819.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077005700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 4th, minority 15th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 29077005700 considered part of Oak Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077005700 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077005700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 364 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077005700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.00% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29077005700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29077005700 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077005700 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29077005700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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