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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Grant Beach Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 29077000600 · Greene County, MO · pop 2,765 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 29077000600 (Grant Beach in Springfield, Missouri) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $753 a month while the average household earns $36,597 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 38% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$36,597

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grant Beach
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 62 tracts In Springfield
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 78 tracts In Greene County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.2189, -93.2989 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grant Beach scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$753 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5

How Grant Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grant Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 000600Springfield: 2.52.5Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 865Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 12.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2017)
  • 130Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 290770006002009: 70 filings (10.13/100 renter HHs)2010: 76 filings (10.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 88 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)2012: 88 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 93 filings (12.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 109 filings (14.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 89 filings (12.06/100 renter HHs)2016: 122 filings (13.72/100 renter HHs)2017: 130 filings (14.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 86% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grant Beach

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greene County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 33% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000600?

Census tract 29077000600 in the Grant Beach neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29077000600?

Median gross rent is $753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000600?

31.1% of residents in tract 29077000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,765.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 49th, minority 42th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 29077000600 considered part of Grant Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077000600 fall within Grant Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 865 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.50% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29077000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29077000600 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077000600 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29077000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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