Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Young-Lilly Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 29077004306 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,479 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Young-Lilly neighborhood of Springfield centers on tract 29077004306, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,479 residents. It lands near the 20th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,188 a month while the average household earns $61,723 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 19% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,533

Renter share26.7%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$61,723

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.2059, -93.3701 · click any tract to drill in

Why Young-Lilly scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,188 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

How Young-Lilly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Young-Lilly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.7%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
35.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Young-Lilly

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.7 and below the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077004306

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077004306?

Census tract 29077004306 in the Young-Lilly neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29077004306?

Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077004306?

13.0% of residents in tract 29077004306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,479.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077004306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 75th, minority 18th, housing 5th.

Is tract 29077004306 considered part of Young-Lilly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077004306 fall within Young-Lilly (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 29077004306 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29077004306 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077004306 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.