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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Young-Lilly Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 29077004305 · Greene County, MO · pop 5,393 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Young-Lilly area of Springfield anchors census tract 29077004305, which lands at 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,148 a month while the average household earns $81,469 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$81,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Young-Lilly
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 62 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 78 tracts In Greene County
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#929 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.1882, -93.3695 · click any tract to drill in

Why Young-Lilly scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5

How Young-Lilly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Young-Lilly risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 004305Springfield: 2.52.5Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Young-Lilly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Young-Lilly

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077004305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077004305?

Census tract 29077004305 in the Young-Lilly neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29077004305?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077004305?

6.6% of residents in tract 29077004305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,393.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077004305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 28th, minority 28th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 29077004305 considered part of Young-Lilly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077004305 fall within Young-Lilly (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 29077004305 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29077004305 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077004305 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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