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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Young-Lilly Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 29077004305 · Greene County, MO · pop 5,393 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 29077004305 covers part of the Young-Lilly area of Springfield, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,393 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$81,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Young-Lilly
Very Low
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 62 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#76 of 78 tracts In Greene County
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 37.1882, -93.3695 · click any tract to drill in

Why Young-Lilly scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5

How Young-Lilly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Young-Lilly risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0043053.4Springfieldparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Young-Lilly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Young-Lilly

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. At $1,148 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Greene County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $81,469, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29077004305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077004305?

Census tract 29077004305 in the Young-Lilly neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29077004305?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29077004305?

6.6% of residents in tract 29077004305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,393.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29077004305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 28th, minority 28th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 29077004305 considered part of Young-Lilly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077004305 fall within Young-Lilly (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 29077004305 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29077004305 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 29077004305 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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