Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Flamm City Eviction Risk: Lower , Arnold
Tract 29099700122 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 4,193 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 29099700122 in Flamm City in Arnold ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,193 residents. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 1% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,298 monthly, set against $81,597 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,676
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$81,597
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arnold and the region
Centroid at 38.4195, -90.3715 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flamm City scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,298 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2
How Flamm City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flamm City
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arnold eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700122?
Census tract 29099700122 in the Flamm City neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700122?
Median gross rent is $1,298/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700122?
9.5% of residents in tract 29099700122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,193.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 57th, minority 5th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 29099700122 considered part of Flamm City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29099700122 fall within Flamm City (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 29099700122 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29099700122 compare to Arnold overall?
Tract 29099700122 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Arnold at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arnold
Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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