Patch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lemay
Tract 29189220101 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,950 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Here is how census tract 29189220101, in Patch in Lemay eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,950. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
16% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $899 monthly, set against $56,494 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5418, -90.2836 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 64%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 70Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Patch
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lemay eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 29189220101
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220101?
Census tract 29189220101 in the Patch neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
What is the average rent in tract 29189220101?
Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220101?
18.2% of residents in tract 29189220101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 38th, minority 11th, housing 10th.
Is tract 29189220101 considered part of Patch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189220101 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 29189220101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
How does tract 29189220101 compare to Lemay overall?
Tract 29189220101 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lemay at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Was tract 29189220101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.