Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lemay
Tract 29189220101 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,950 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 29189220101 covers part of the Patch area of Lemay, MO, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,950. Cost burden runs 16% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,539
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$56,494
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lemay and the region
Centroid at 38.5418, -90.2836 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lemay
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lemay
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lemay
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lemay
5.0
How Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 64%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 70Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patch
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $899, close to the Lemay average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $56,494.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220101?
Census tract 29189220101 in the Patch neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220101?
Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220101?
18.2% of residents in tract 29189220101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 38th, minority 11th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 29189220101 considered part of Patch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189220101 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189220101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189220101 compare to Lemay overall?
Tract 29189220101 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lemay at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lemay eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189220101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lemay
Top eight tracts in Lemay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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