2 census tracts · pop 9,020 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 3.9–4.6
Patch spans 2 census tracts of Lemay, MO and houses 9,020 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 32% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Lemay rate of 24.9%.
The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 361 evictions logged in this tract.
Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 12.7% of renter households. At $957 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Lemay commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.0% in 2017 against a 12.7% peak.
At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 4.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Patch vs LemayHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority22%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Patch
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
361Total filings (sum)
8.61%Avg annual filing rate
12.7%Peak year (2012)
10.00%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
308Total filings 2020-21
2.1Avg monthly observed
2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.7%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
11.8%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
38.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Patch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Patch?
Patch scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Patch compare to Lemay overall?
Patch scores 1.0 points higher than Lemay overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $957 vs $881.
Q3
What is the average rent in Patch?
Average gross rent in Patch is $957/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Patch residents are renters?
15% of Patch households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Lemay). The neighborhood has 9,020 residents.
Q5
Is Patch a high social-vulnerability area?
Patch sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Patch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Patch is census tract 29189220101 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.6, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Patch for landlords?
Patch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lemay as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Patch?
Patch has 9,283 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.4%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
