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Neighborhood · Lemay, MO

Patch Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,020 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.6-3.8

Patch is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lemay with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,020 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 32% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $957/month sits 9% higher than the Lemay citywide average ($881).

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Patch vs Lemay How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.0% +29%
Lemay: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$957 +9%
Lemay: $881
Average HH income
$62,995 +7%
Lemay: $59,026
Poverty rate
14.1% -1%
Lemay: 14.3%
Renter share
15.1% -34%
Lemay: 23.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Patch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6-3.8

Why Patch scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1-2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2-6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5-8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 3.5-3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5-2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 4.9-4.9 across tracts
4.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0-5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
14.1% below poverty line · Range 2.7-4.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4-3.2 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Patch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Patch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Patch: 3.73.7PatchNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Patch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29189220200 3.8 5,070 44% $1,002
29189220101 3.6 3,950 16% $899
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 22%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Patch

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 361Total filings (sum)
  • 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak year (2012)
  • 10.00%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 308Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Patch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Patch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Patch?

Patch scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Patch compare to Lemay overall?

Patch scores 0.5 points lower than Lemay overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $957 vs $881.

Q3

What is the average rent in Patch?

Average gross rent in Patch is $957/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Patch residents are renters?

15% of Patch households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Lemay). The neighborhood has 9,020 residents.

Q5

Is Patch a high social-vulnerability area?

Patch sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Patch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Patch is census tract 29189220200 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 3.8, a spread of 0.2 points.

Q7

How safe is Patch for landlords?

Patch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lemay as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Patch?

Patch has 9,283 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.4%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Patch

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