Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Mehlville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189220503 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,324
Census tract 29189220503 covers part of Mehlville, MO, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,324. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,303
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$66,838
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mehlville and the region
Centroid at 38.5073, -90.3007 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mehlville scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mehlville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,079 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mehlville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
How Mehlville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mehlville
Average gross rent is $2,079, 95% above the Mehlville average. The voucher gap is 71.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $66,838 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220503?
Census tract 29189220503 in Mehlville scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220503?
Median gross rent is $2,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220503?
5.2% of residents in tract 29189220503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,324.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 74th, minority 16th, housing 8th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220503 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189220503 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189220503 compare to Mehlville overall?
Tract 29189220503 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Mehlville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mehlville
Top eight tracts in Mehlville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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