Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Mehlville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189220504 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,861
Eviction risk in Mehlville eviction risk centers on tract 29189220504, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,861 residents. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $905 monthly, set against $49,186 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,875
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$49,186
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mehlville and the region
Centroid at 38.5059, -90.3121 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mehlville scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mehlville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mehlville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mehlville
4.7
How Mehlville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 253Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.34×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mehlville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.34x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220504?
Census tract 29189220504 in Mehlville scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220504?
Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220504?
8.1% of residents in tract 29189220504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,861.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 86th, minority 30th, housing 60th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189220504 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189220504 compare to Mehlville overall?
Tract 29189220504 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Mehlville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mehlville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mehlville
Top eight tracts in Mehlville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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