Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Tower Grove South Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510116100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,306 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 29510116100, in the Tower Grove South neighborhood of St. Louis, looks to a landlord: a 6.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,306. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $955 a month while the average household earns $49,219 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,676
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$49,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5922, -90.2551 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tower Grove South scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$955 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Tower Grove South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 740Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2012)
- 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 202Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tower Grove South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tower Grove South
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116100?
Census tract 29510116100 in the Tower Grove South neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116100?
Median gross rent is $955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116100?
27.5% of residents in tract 29510116100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,306.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 80th, minority 70th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116100 considered part of Tower Grove South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116100 fall within Tower Grove South (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 740 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116100 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116100 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116100 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.1
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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