Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Tower Grove South Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510116100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,306 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

29510116100 is a census tract in the Tower Grove South area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,306. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 30% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,676

Renter share62.2%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate27.5%

Median income$49,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5922, -90.2551 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tower Grove South scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Louis

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

27.5% poverty · this tract

6.9

Supply constraint

$955 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Louis

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Louis

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Louis

5.0

How Tower Grove South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
100%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

740Total filings over 13 yrs
8.36%Avg annual filing rate
11.6%Peak (2012)
52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2017

Filings climbed 30% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

202Total filings 2020-21
2.6Avg monthly (observed)
5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.49×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tower Grove South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.2%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.3%Food insecurity
17.2%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tower Grove South

The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 740 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 11.6% of renter households.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510116100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116100?

Census tract 29510116100 in the Tower Grove South neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29510116100?

Median gross rent is $955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116100?

27.5% of residents in tract 29510116100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,306.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 80th, minority 70th, housing 28th.

Is tract 29510116100 considered part of Tower Grove South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116100 fall within Tower Grove South (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 740 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 29510116100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 29510116100 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29510116100 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510116100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 29510116100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org