Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Tower Grove South Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510115200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,682 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 29510115200 covers the Tower Grove South area of St. Louis in Missouri. Home to 2,682 residents, it scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $796 a month while the average household earns $36,711 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,450
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$36,711
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5928, -90.2646 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tower Grove South scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$796 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Tower Grove South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 47%Grade B
- 40%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,193Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2015)
- 93Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 325Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tower Grove South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 20.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.0%Food insecurity
- 27.7%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tower Grove South
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.46x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510115200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510115200?
Census tract 29510115200 in the Tower Grove South neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510115200?
Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510115200?
17.0% of residents in tract 29510115200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510115200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 80th, minority 66th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 29510115200 considered part of Tower Grove South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510115200 fall within Tower Grove South (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510115200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,193 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510115200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.91% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510115200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510115200 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510115200 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510115200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510115200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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