Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Tower Grove South Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510116200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,737 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tower Grove South in St. Louis anchors census tract 29510116200, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 38% of US census tracts.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,132 a month against an average household income of $84,805 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,808
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$84,805
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6038, -90.2575 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tower Grove South scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,132 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Tower Grove South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 46%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 599Total filings over 13 yrs
- 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2004)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 91% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 54Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tower Grove South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tower Grove South
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 599 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.7% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116200?
Census tract 29510116200 in the Tower Grove South neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116200?
Median gross rent is $1,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116200?
4.8% of residents in tract 29510116200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 0th, minority 41th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116200 considered part of Tower Grove South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116200 fall within Tower Grove South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 599 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116200 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116200 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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