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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Botanical Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510118100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,190 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 29510118100 in the Botanical Heights area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,190. Average gross rent is $1,509, 51% above the St. Louis average.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 37% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$75,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Botanical Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#62 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Moderate
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#61 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#523 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6236, -90.2539 · click any tract to drill in

Why Botanical Heights scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How Botanical Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Botanical Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 1181004.2St. Louisparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 400Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 9.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2004)
  • 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29510118100
Filings dropped 62% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 199Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.26×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Botanical Heights

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 400 evictions over 13 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 10.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510118100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510118100?

Census tract 29510118100 in the Botanical Heights neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510118100?

Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510118100?

22.5% of residents in tract 29510118100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,190.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510118100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 8th, minority 67th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 29510118100 considered part of Botanical Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510118100 fall within Botanical Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510118100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 400 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510118100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.11% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510118100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510118100 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510118100 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510118100 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510118100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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