Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Wittmans Cotner Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109000201 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,597 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
31109000201 is a census tract in the Wittmans Cotner Heights area of Lincoln, NE. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,597 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,111
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$57,346
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8443, -96.6354 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wittmans Cotner Heights scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Wittmans Cotner Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 39%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 249Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2006)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wittmans Cotner Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.
Against Lancaster County at 43.9%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 249 evictions over 14 years of observation.
It sits 0.8 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.
At $966 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lincoln commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when 3.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109000201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000201?
Census tract 31109000201 in the Wittmans Cotner Heights neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109000201?
Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000201?
15.2% of residents in tract 31109000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,597.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 43th, minority 23th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 31109000201 considered part of Wittmans Cotner Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000201 fall within Wittmans Cotner Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 249 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109000201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109000201 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109000201 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109000201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Makers Row
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
WJ Marshalls
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Downtown
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hyland Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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