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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Wittmans Cotner Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109000201 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,597 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Wittmans Cotner Heights area of Lincoln centers on tract 31109000201, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,597 residents. On the national scale it ranks #60,245 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $966 a month against an average household income of $57,346 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 19% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,111
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$57,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Wittmans Cotner Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8443, -96.6354 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wittmans Cotner Heights scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Wittmans Cotner Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wittmans Cotner Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 000201Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 249Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2006)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090002012002: 18 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2003: 15 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 16 filings (2.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 26 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (3.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 20 filings (3.55/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wittmans Cotner Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 249 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2006.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000201?

Census tract 31109000201 in the Wittmans Cotner Heights neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109000201?

Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000201?

15.2% of residents in tract 31109000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,597.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 43th, minority 23th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 31109000201 considered part of Wittmans Cotner Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000201 fall within Wittmans Cotner Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 249 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109000201 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109000201 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109000201 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109000201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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