Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Doris Bair Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109002900 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 5,395 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.3/10 for census tract 31109002900 reflects conditions in the Doris Bair Park neighborhood of Lincoln, Nebraska. That is riskier than roughly 18% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,185 a month against an average household income of $62,707 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,965
Renter share76.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$62,707
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8697, -96.6482 · click any tract to drill in
Why Doris Bair Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Doris Bair Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 630Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2009)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Doris Bair Park
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 630 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.3% of renter households in 2009.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109002900?
Census tract 31109002900 in the Doris Bair Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109002900?
Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109002900?
19.4% of residents in tract 31109002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,395.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 8th, minority 44th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 31109002900 considered part of Doris Bair Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109002900 fall within Doris Bair Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109002900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.72% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109002900 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109002900 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109002900 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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