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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Green Prairie Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109003202 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,881 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 31109003202 in the Green Prairie Heights area of Lincoln, NE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Lancaster County at 43.9%, roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 51% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,097
Renter share69.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$66,287

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Green Prairie Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8519, -96.8009 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Prairie Heights scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Green Prairie Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Prairie Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0032023.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 459Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2011)
  • 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109003202
Filings dropped 19% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Prairie Heights

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 0.9 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 459 evictions over 14 years of observation.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.

At $965 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lincoln commands. Filings peaked in 2011 at 6.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003202?

Census tract 31109003202 in the Green Prairie Heights neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109003202?

Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003202?

19.2% of residents in tract 31109003202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,881.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 30th, minority 44th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 31109003202 considered part of Green Prairie Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003202 fall within Green Prairie Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 459 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109003202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.72% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109003202 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109003202 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003202 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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