Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 31109003500 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 60 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 31109003500 sits in the Lincoln eviction risk Park area of Lincoln eviction risk, NE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 60. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Poverty rate68.3%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.7820, -96.7344 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Park scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lincoln

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

68.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lincoln

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lincoln

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lincoln

3.0

How Lincoln Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.6%Housing insecurity
24.7%Utility-shutoff threat
43.9%Food insecurity
47.0%SNAP enrollment
21.2%Transit barriers
24.2%No health insurance
21.0%Frequent mental distress
45.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Park

SNAP participation runs 47.0% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 68%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.6% against 14.2% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Lancaster County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003500?

Census tract 31109003500 in the Lincoln Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003500?

68.3% of residents in tract 31109003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 60.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 6th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 31109003500 considered part of Lincoln Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003500 fall within Lincoln Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 31109003500 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31109003500 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003500 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 31109003500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.