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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Capitol Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109002001 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 2,467 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 31109002001 in the Capitol area of Lincoln ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,467 residents. On the national scale it ranks #60,247 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $729 a month against an average household income of $33,294 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 49% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,612
Renter share96.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$33,294

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Capitol
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8042, -96.6997 · click any tract to drill in

Why Capitol scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$729 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Capitol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Capitol risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 002001Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,459Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 7.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2013)
  • 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090020012002: 63 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 103 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 113 filings (8.81/100 renter HHs)2006: 109 filings (8.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 103 filings (8.03/100 renter HHs)2008: 100 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 116 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 121 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 110 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)2012: 126 filings (8.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 144 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2014: 91 filings (6.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 95 filings (6.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 65 filings (4.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Capitol

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109002001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109002001?

Census tract 31109002001 in the Capitol neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109002001?

Median gross rent is $729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109002001?

21.3% of residents in tract 31109002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,467.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109002001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 57th, minority 58th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 31109002001 considered part of Capitol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109002001 fall within Capitol (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109002001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,459 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109002001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.54% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109002001 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109002001 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109002001 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109002001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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