Wandering Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

The voucher gap is 38.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lancaster County average of 43.9%.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.