Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Northern Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109010203 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 1,883 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.6/10 for census tract 31109010203 reflects conditions in Northern Hills in Lincoln, Nebraska. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,402 monthly, set against $140,179 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units739

Renter share26.7%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$140,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8932, -96.7298 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northern Hills scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lincoln

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Nebraska legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,402 rent vs county FMR

7.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lincoln

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lincoln

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lincoln

3.0

How Northern Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.2%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northern Hills

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109010203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109010203?

Census tract 31109010203 in the Northern Hills neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 31109010203?

Median gross rent is $1,402/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109010203?

5.8% of residents in tract 31109010203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,883.

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109010203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 16th, minority 12th, housing 61th.

Is tract 31109010203 considered part of Northern Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109010203 fall within Northern Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 31109010203 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 31109010203 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109010203 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.