Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Southeast Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011001000 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 6,314 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

33011001000 is a census tract in the Southeast area of Manchester, NH. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,314 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 11% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units2,647

Renter share24.7%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate3.8%

Median income$113,234

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9749, -71.3994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southeast scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

3.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,857 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Southeast compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southeast

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against Hillsborough County at 45.2%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 18.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,857, 19% above the Manchester average. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.0.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011001000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011001000?

Census tract 33011001000 in the Southeast neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011001000?

Median gross rent is $1,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011001000?

3.8% of residents in tract 33011001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,314.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 7th, minority 18th, housing 65th.

Is tract 33011001000 considered part of Southeast?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011001000 fall within Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011001000 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011001000 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.