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Neighborhood · Ranked #162 of 84,120 nationally

Academy Heights Eviction Risk: High , Newark

Tract 34013002203 · Essex County, NJ · pop 6,609 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in Academy Heights in Newark centers on tract 34013002203, which scores 8.2/10 (High tier) and is home to 6,609 residents. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,046 a month while the average household earns $34,031 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 43% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$34,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Academy Heights
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 88 tracts In Newark
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7371, -74.2489 · click any tract to drill in

Why Academy Heights scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Academy Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Academy Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 002203Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Academy Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Academy Heights

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Newark eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013002203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013002203?

Census tract 34013002203 in the Academy Heights neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013002203?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013002203?

29.0% of residents in tract 34013002203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,609.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013002203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 63th, minority 94th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 34013002203 considered part of Academy Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013002203 fall within Academy Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013002203 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013002203 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013002203 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013002203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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