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Neighborhood · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally

East Ferry Eviction Risk: High , Newark

Tract 34013007502 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,821 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 34013007502 belongs to East Ferry in Newark, New Jersey. It is home to 3,821 residents and scores 8.2/10, a high reading for landlords. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,406 a month while the average household earns $57,521 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 41% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,097
Renter share82.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$57,521

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In East Ferry
High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 88 tracts In Newark
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#41 of 211 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7307, -74.1292 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Ferry scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,406 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How East Ferry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Ferry risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 007502Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,318Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 29.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.3%Peak (2018)
  • 350Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130075022013: 158 filings (23.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 199 filings (28.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 166 filings (24.16/100 renter HHs)2016: 131 filings (16.21/100 renter HHs)2017: 314 filings (38.86/100 renter HHs)2018: 350 filings (43.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 122% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Ferry

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 9% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Newark eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013007502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013007502?

Census tract 34013007502 in the East Ferry neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013007502?

Median gross rent is $1,406/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013007502?

28.9% of residents in tract 34013007502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,821.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013007502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 34013007502 considered part of East Ferry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013007502 fall within East Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013007502?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,318 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013007502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.09% of renter households, peaking at 43.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34013007502 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34013007502 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013007502 scores 8.7/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34013007502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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