Within neighborhood
73
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: High , Union City
Tract 34017017200 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,225 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 34017017200 covers the The Shades neighborhood of Union City, home to 3,225 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #4,780 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,473 monthly, set against $53,148 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,150
Renter share85.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$53,148
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7640, -74.0339 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 94%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 408Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2014)
- 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.4%Food insecurity
- 18.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 29.7%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 408 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.3% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017200?
Census tract 34017017200 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017200?
Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017200?
25.4% of residents in tract 34017017200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 89th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017200 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017200 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 408 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.89% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017200 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017200 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017200 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.8
/ 10 · High
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