Within neighborhood
87
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: High , Union City
Tract 34017017400 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,280 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34017017400 (the The Shades neighborhood of Union City, New Jersey) comes in at 7.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,319 a month while the average household earns $50,086 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,010
Renter share83.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$50,086
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7614, -74.0356 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 8.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 220Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2014)
- 41Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.3%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 28.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017400?
Census tract 34017017400 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017400?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017400?
27.9% of residents in tract 34017017400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,280.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 64th, minority 93th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017400 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017400 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.32% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017400 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017400 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017400 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.8
/ 10 · High
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