Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Sayre Woods Eviction Risk: Lower , Sayreville
Tract 34023007303 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,025 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Sayre Woods neighborhood of Sayreville is where census tract 34023007303 sits, home to 2,025 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 100% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $125,050 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units595
Renter share1.8%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$125,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sayreville and the region
Centroid at 40.4623, -74.2996 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayre Woods scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sayreville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sayreville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sayreville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sayreville
4.5
How Sayre Woods compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayre Woods. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayre Woods
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007303?
Census tract 34023007303 in the Sayre Woods neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007303?
2.8% of residents in tract 34023007303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,025.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 17th, minority 68th, housing 55th.
Q4
Is tract 34023007303 considered part of Sayre Woods?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007303 fall within Sayre Woods (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 34023007303 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 34023007303 compare to Sayreville overall?
Tract 34023007303 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Sayreville at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sayreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sayreville
Top eight tracts in Sayreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Sayre Woods
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Runyon
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Thomas J. Dohany Homes
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
La Mer
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Presidents Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Melrose
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Winding River
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NJ
Park Village
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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