Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Bridge
Tract 34023007805 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,063 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 34023007805 sits in the Sayerwood South area of Old Bridge eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Cost burden runs 12% here against 44.9% across Middlesex County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share1.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$122,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region
Centroid at 40.3935, -74.3199 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayerwood South scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9
How Sayerwood South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.0%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayerwood South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayerwood South
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 5.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023007805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007805?
Census tract 34023007805 in the Sayerwood South neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007805?
6.1% of residents in tract 34023007805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,063.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 25th, minority 56th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 34023007805 considered part of Sayerwood South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007805 fall within Sayerwood South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007805?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34023007805 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34023007805 compare to Old Bridge overall?
Tract 34023007805 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Old Bridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge
Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Whispering Pines
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Sayerwood South
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Creighton Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Deer Chase at Oakwoode
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Spring Knolls
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NJ
Middlewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NJ
Trevor Place
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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