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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Bridge

Tract 34023007805 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 4,063 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

In the Sayerwood South area of Old Bridge, census tract 34023007805 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.

About 12% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $122,083 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share1.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$122,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sayerwood South
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Old Bridge
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,202 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Bridge and the region

Centroid at 40.3935, -74.3199 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayerwood South scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Bridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Bridge
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Bridge
4.9

How Sayerwood South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sayerwood South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 007805Old Bridge: 7.77.7Old Bridgeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.0%Peak (2015)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayerwood South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayerwood South

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023007805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023007805?

Census tract 34023007805 in the Sayerwood South neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023007805?

6.1% of residents in tract 34023007805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,063.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023007805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 25th, minority 56th, housing 4th.
Q4

Is tract 34023007805 considered part of Sayerwood South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023007805 fall within Sayerwood South (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023007805?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023007805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34023007805 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34023007805 compare to Old Bridge overall?

Tract 34023007805 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Old Bridge at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Bridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Bridge

Top eight tracts in Old Bridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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