Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Pheasant Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forked River
Tract 34029732004 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,324 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 34029732004 covers part of the Pheasant Run area of Forked River, NJ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,324 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.7/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$83,426
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.8235, -74.2156 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pheasant Run scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,195 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
4.4
How Pheasant Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pheasant Run
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Ocean County average of 50.5%. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,195, close to the Forked River average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029732004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732004?
Census tract 34029732004 in the Pheasant Run neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029732004?
Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732004?
6.6% of residents in tract 34029732004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,324.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 28th, minority 20th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 34029732004 considered part of Pheasant Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029732004 fall within Pheasant Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029732004 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029732004 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029732004 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forked River
Top eight tracts in Forked River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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