Neighborhood · Ranked #1,816 of 84,120 nationally

Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029001900 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,253 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 6.4/10, tract 36029001900 in the Kaisertown area of Buffalo ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,253 residents. On the national scale it ranks #12,950 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $876 monthly, set against $50,859 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 29% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,527

Renter share45.3%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate21.4%

Median income$50,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8686, -78.8095 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaisertown scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

21.4% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$876 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Kaisertown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
52%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kaisertown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.4%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
17.8%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaisertown

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029001900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029001900?

Census tract 36029001900 in the Kaisertown neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029001900?

Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029001900?

21.4% of residents in tract 36029001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,253.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 43th, minority 31th, housing 14th.

Is tract 36029001900 considered part of Kaisertown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029001900 fall within Kaisertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029001900 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029001900 scores 8.1/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.