Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Against Erie County at 44.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. At $876 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Buffalo commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $50,859.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.