Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Against Erie County at 44.6%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 41.2% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $35,161, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $967, close to the Buffalo average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.