Neighborhood · Ranked #675 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004003 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,329 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In Central Park in Buffalo, census tract 36029004003 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

73% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $967 monthly, set against $35,161 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 17% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,312

Renter share63.3%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate26.5%

Median income$35,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9354, -78.8339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

26.5% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$967 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
80%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.4%Housing insecurity
22.0%Utility-shutoff threat
38.9%Food insecurity
41.2%SNAP enrollment
19.4%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Asian and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004003?

Census tract 36029004003 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029004003?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004003?

26.5% of residents in tract 36029004003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,329.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 100th, minority 94th, housing 75th.

Is tract 36029004003 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004003 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029004003 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029004003 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004003 scores 8.8/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029004003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.