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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Central Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,913 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.8–9.3

Central Park spans 2 census tracts of Buffalo, NY and houses 8,913 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Buffalo baseline of 31.4%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 6.8 to 9.3. A 2.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. SNAP participation is 25.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 14.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That places it #19 of 21 neighborhoods in Buffalo. The closest comparables inside the same city are University Heights and Elmwood Village.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,074, close to the Buffalo average.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Central Park vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.2% +69%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,074 +3%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$75,426 +57%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
15.1% -45%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
45.9% -19%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.8–9.3

Why Central Park scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
15.1% below poverty line · Range 2.1–6.6 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–4.7 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Central Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7Central ParkNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Central Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029004003 9.3 3,329 73% $967
36029004500 6.8 5,584 41% $1,138
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Park?

Central Park scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Park compare to Buffalo overall?

Central Park scores 0.2 points lower than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,074 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Park?

Average gross rent in Central Park is $1,074/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Park residents are renters?

46% of Central Park households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 8,913 residents.
Q5

Is Central Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Park sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Park is census tract 36029004003 (score 9.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.8 to 9.3, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Park for landlords?

Central Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Park?

Central Park has 8,628 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41%), Black (non-Hispanic) (38.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Park.

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