Allentown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Erie County average of 44.6%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,064, close to the Buffalo average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $46,346.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.