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Neighborhood · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally

Bridgeburg Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029005900 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,217 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Bridgeburg neighborhood of Buffalo, census tract 36029005900 scores 7.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $941 monthly, set against $37,992 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 37% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,879
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate39.6%
Median income$37,992

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bridgeburg
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#244 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9373, -78.9031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bridgeburg scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
39.6% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$941 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Bridgeburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bridgeburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.09.0This tracttract 005900Buffalo: 9.49.4Buffaloparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bridgeburg

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029005900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029005900?

Census tract 36029005900 in the Bridgeburg neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029005900?

Median gross rent is $941/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029005900?

39.6% of residents in tract 36029005900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,217.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029005900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 96th, minority 68th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 36029005900 considered part of Bridgeburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029005900 fall within Bridgeburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029005900 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029005900 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029005900 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029005900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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