Bridgeburg Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.6% across Erie County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $941, 10% below the Buffalo average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.